Judging from next season's championship odds, the Warriors are still one of the most promising titles.
But can they really perform as good as imagined? At least so far, I am not so sure.
Because there are still many unknowns in this warrior:
——Can the core three generals return to the peak of their own state after returning from injury?
Due to injury issues, the three core players of the Warriors all got enough rest last season, which will undoubtedly help them find a healthier body.
The problem is mainly focused on the impact of age and rehabilitation after injury.
Curry will be 33 years old next season. Will he be able to get back to the state of the unanimous MVP period and take up the team again? Not impossible, but difficult;
Although it seems that Thompson has completely recovered from the torn cruciate ligament injury, he recovered from a serious injury and has been absent from official games for a long time. Will Thompson feel as good on both ends of the offense and defense as before? Hard to say;
Because of the high-intensity and high-density games in recent years, Green’s body has been severely worn. After this season, his physical condition should be restored to a certain extent, but he is over 30 years old, in this team. Does he need to spend more seasons on the defensive end and can still regain his former DPOY style? No one dared to pack tickets.
This is the biggest unknown for the Warriors in the new season. When Durant left and the team structure returned to the past, can the three men who once led the team to the top, can they carry the audience like they did before? We do not yet have an exact answer.
——What role will Wiggins play around the three cores, and can he fit the team's system?
Many people think Wiggins will play a similar role to Barnes in the Warriors, but I don’t think so.
I believe Cole’s more likely choice is to let Wiggins serve as another ball-holding attack point next to Curry. His game style will be required to make some changes, but it may not be huge. Changes-for example, it is unlikely that Wiggins will go directly from a pick-and-roll initiator with the ball to a shooter squatting in the corner waiting to catch the ball and shoot the ball-but Wiggins can really satisfy the team's trust in him Expectations?
Judging from past resumes only, before Wiggins really proves himself, any expectation may be beaten in the face.
-What will the Warriors do with their second pick, whether to complete the draft or use it as a bargaining chip?
Judging from the information we have now, the quality of players participating this year is generally not optimistic. Several teams holding high picks have more or less expressed their willingness to trade down. The Warriors are no exception. There have been repeated news reports that they are not interested in Wiseman and want to trade down draft picks to pick a new forward.
The news is naturally mixed, but the Warriors' vague attitude towards the draft is definitely a matter of course. With the cap space completely locked up and the core members are gradually entering the later stages of their careers, will the Warriors choose a potential rookie to rebuild the Spurs, or use this pick as the trading body to operate the star To join? I prefer the latter, but everything will depend on the attitude of the Warriors and changes in market conditions.
But one thing is known, the Warriors' current bench lineup, talent and ability are very limited. This is the biggest difference compared to the two years of 2015/2016. At the beginning, the Warriors were a combination of young core and experienced veterans. They have both star resources and bench depth, but now they have a few Mesozoic stars and a bunch of young people with a basic salary. The help that the core can get may be Very limited.
So, how should the Warriors make adjustments?
Before that, we must first know what the Warriors position themselves. If they just want to return to the ranks of the strong players in the West End, then OK, even if they don't make adjustments, even if the three cores fail to return to their peak state, they can still play a good record. After all, Curry and Thompson are here, the Warriors don't have to worry too much about their offense, as long as they are healthy and make the playoffs, there is no problem at all.
But what if their goal is to compete for the championship? So in terms of the Warriors' current lineup, it's not enough.
After more than a year of rest, the NBA has changed. The Golden State Warriors, who once stood in the center of the stage, covered the sky with only one hand, affecting the wind direction and pattern of the entire alliance. If you want to reach the top, you must find a way to step over them. It is precisely because of this that all teams have to look at them to make reinforcements. The most craziest is naturally the Houston Rockets. In order to match the Warriors' speed and pursue the ultimate defense, they even forced themselves to the point of confusion.
But now, the Warriors have changed from guards to challengers. The biggest problem they face now is that they are too short. The tallest player in the team is Smailragic of 2.08 meters, followed by Looney and Chris of 2.06 meters, and only Wiggins and Thompson are still more than 2 meters tall. The blockbuster spots in the team are occupied by small guards, and the inside and striker resources are extremely scarce.
The former Warriors are a team that can be large or small, with abundant resources for changing recruits, and can not be adjusted according to different opponents. However, in terms of the current personnel structure, they have basically lost this ability.
The dynamic offensive style of playing around speed and space really allows them to get cheap when facing most teams. The main opponents in the Western Conference that are placed in front of the Warriors either have the ability to fight with you speed and change defenses, or are able to target your weaknesses with precision strikes, or simply have both. They now want to break through from the Western District, and the difficulties they will face are much greater than before.
Filling up the lack of height in the lineup is something I think the Warriors must do in this offseason.
is the reinforcement of the center position first.
The time the Warriors are now at the center position is basically divided between Looney, Chris and Green. Needless to say, Green is one of the best small ball insides in the league at his peak. What he needs is to take care of his body and regain his previous game state. The problem is mainly with Looney and Chris. Looney has a certain ability to defend and defend, but his body is not strong enough to withstand the big center. As for Chris, regardless of offense and defense, he has never proved in an excellent team. Live your own value.
This inside configuration, not to mention encountering Jokic and thick eyebrows, just want to stop Harel's down-shun impact, it may be enough.
This is why there have been rumors recently that the Warriors want to strengthen the center position. Although this is a bit leftward with their past ideas, it is one of the key factors that cannot be ignored if they want to succeed in the new era.
how to make up? I only consider star players who can cause qualitative change here, there are only two in total.
One is a letter, it will be immediately ascended to the sky, space + conversion + invincible downward bombing basket, this will be the new version of Curry and the super striker. It's a pity that they can't change it. The Bucks have already stated that even if the letter refuses to renew the contract in advance, they will not take the initiative to choose a deal. Therefore, regardless of whether the bargaining chips are sufficiently competitive, the prerequisite for this transaction is that the letters are reversed first, and the requirement to come forward and name and join the Warriors is certainly not small.
The other is Embiid. Philadelphia's attitude towards dual-core has always been a bit vague. The Warriors can seize this opportunity to use Wiggins + No. 2 pick + several future picks as the main body to offer to the 76ers. Peer-to-peer transactions may be difficult. They may We have to pull three parties to add weight to this deal and take over the second pick by the way. After all, Philadelphia never wants to experience "Believe Process 2.0" again.
Although the player Embiid has problems like this, the Warriors have him, at least he has an inside big man who can match his thick eyebrows and Jokic. His tonnage and ability to protect the basket are much stronger than that of Looney. . And both belong to Under Armour, Embiid and Curry also have a pretty good personal relationship.
尽管球员Embiid有这样的问题，但勇士队还是有他的，至少他有一个内线大个子，可以与他浓密的眉毛和Jokic相匹敌。他的吨位和保护篮筐的能力比卢尼强得多。 。两者都属于Under Armour，Embiid和Curry的个人关系也很好。
But... this is also not an easy deal.
Secondly, it is the reinforcement of the forward position.
Once the Warriors' most proud striker group, after Iguodala and Durant left the team, they have become completely unrecognizable. The Warriors' current forward lineup is too thin, only Clay and Wiggins. The penalty area is inherently lacking in height, and there are still very few people on the flanks that can defend. This is why most people feel that the Warriors' defense has been difficult to return to the past. In this era when the striker is king and the big powers are holding the super striker in their hands, the Warriors' current lineup of small guards is too easy to be targeted.
They have to increase this position. Who is right? I think Harkless is good.
His size, mobility, and three-to-four swing style are very suitable for this team. Although his shooting performance is not good enough, it is not a problem for the Warriors. If he can join, the role positioning should be very similar to Barnes, squatting corner shots + air cuts, enough to deal with, the most important thing is defense, and relatively low salary.
After eating the child labor bonus of those years, the Warriors' salary has exploded. If the luxury tax line for next season remains the same, then only with the current 12-man contract lineup, they will have to pay $69 million in taxes. Obviously, they can't afford high-paid free agents to reinforce, and this also increases the difficulty of adjusting their lineup.
These are all my views on the Warriors team.
As far as the core of the team, down to this year's draft picks, they are full of various uncertainties. Before adjusting the lineup, they had obvious match-up shortcomings, but under the constraints of salary and chips, any change the Warriors want to make will be extremely difficult. They are not without the possibility of breaking the game, but the difficulty is really not small.